Thursday, November 15, 2007
SPX 1450 Must Be Defended or Else...
Another tough day for the market today. The relentless selling has not lost steam. What is worse, the SPX has breached for the good part of the day, the support level at 1450. The only meager solace in this action is that SPX ended the day above 1451.15 on a last minute surge in buying. There is nothing bullish about this action. Furthermore, the bulls need to pray that this level of support holds, else we may retest the 1430 level, which, if broken, is considered a bear market signal.
Who are we kidding? All the leading momentum stocks have rolled over and are falling faster than a knife through hot butter. Google (GOOG), Bidu (BIDU), Research in Motion (RIMM), Apple (AAPL), and many more have fallen by the way side.
Don't listen to the so called market experts who are calling for a "Turkey Rally". As I said before, the turkey has already been killed and the carcass is rotting. This is not the time to be picking at the bottom, as we have not yet found any bottom support. Stay in cash or go short if you are inclined to do so, but under no circumstances listen to the market gurus such as Jim Cramer. They are all confused and scared.
SPX would be a great short if it stays below 1450 on heavy volume. I am currently flat today. I sold out of my BIDU short term puts but am holding the January 195 puts (190 contracts- which I will add to on any rally attempt tomorrow). I am expecting an early morning dead cat bounce which I have positioned 15 contracts of December $330 BIDU contract, which I will sell into strength.
In this market, watch the key support and resistance levels on the S&P 500 and trade accordingly. It is treacherous out there with a lot of head fakes and noise from the market pundits. Unless proven otherwise, assume that the Santa rally and the turkey rally is dead. Period. Don't fight the tape here. Cash is king.
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